• Biosimilars
  • Drug Development/R&D
  • All Topics
OHE OHE
Newsletter SignupSubscribe

News & Insights
  • News
  • Events
  • Insights
  • Bulletin
  • News
  • Events
  • Insights
  • Bulletin

News & Insights

  • News
  • Events
  • Insights
  • Bulletin
Newsletter SignupSubscribe
  • News
  • Events
  • Insights
  • Bulletin

Close
OHE OHE
  • Research & Publications
  • News & Insights
  • Education
  • Innovation Policy Prize
  • Events
  • About Us
  • OHE Experts
  • Contact Us
Newsletter SignupSubscribe

Research & Publications

All Publications

Filter by:
  • Antimicrobial Resistance (AMR)
  • Biosimilars
  • Cell and Gene Therapies
  • Chronic Diseases
  • Combination Therapies
  • COVID-19 Research
  • Digital Health
  • Drug Development/R&D
  • Emerging Markets
  • EQ-5D and PROMs
  • Health Care Systems
  • Health Data and Statistics
  • Health Technology Assessment
  • Precision Medicine
  • Real World Evidence
  • Use of Medicines
  • Value-Based Pricing
  • Vaccine Research
  • Economics of Innovation
  • Measuring and Valuing Outcomes
  • Policy, Organisation and Incentives in Health Systems
  • Value, Affordability and Decision Making

News & Insights

  • News
  • Events
  • Insights
  • Bulletin

Education

  • Education Hub
  • OHE Graduate School
  • EVIA Programme

Innovation Policy Prize

  • The Prize Fund
  • 2022 Prize Fund

Latest Research & Publications

  • Antimicrobial Resistance (AMR)
  • Economics of Innovation

Incentivising New Antibiotics: Designing a Value-Based Delinked Pull Incentive Mechansim

ABPI_Incentivising_Antibioics_peter-pryharski-unsplash_landscape
Read more

Proposal for a General Outcome-based Value Attribution Framework for Combination Therapies

CombTher_Adobe_photoguns_portrait
Read more
© photoguns
  • Digital Health

Navigating the Landscape of Digital Health – United Kingdom

Healthcare_Adobe_elenabsl
Read more

2021 OHE Annual Report to the Charity Commission

charityreport_lina-trochez-unsplash_landscape
Read more
© Lina Trochez/Unsplash

Supporting the Era of Green Pharmaceuticals in the UK

Sustainability_AdobeStock_270582392_landscape
Read more

Quality of life and wellbeing in individuals with experience of fertility problems and assisted reproductive techniques

Quality of life assisted reproduction Cover
Read more
  • Cell and Gene Therapies
  • Value, Affordability, and…

Health Technology Assessment of Gene Therapies: Are Our Methods Fit for Purpose?

gene_therapies_national-cancer-institute-unsplash_landscape
Read more
© NCI/Unsplash
  • Drug Development/R&D
  • Economics of Innovation
  • Health Policy and Regulation

Limitations of CBO’s Simulation Model of New Drug Development as a Tool for Policymakers

CBO-US_mayer-tawfik-K4Ckc0AxgDI-unsplash_landscape
Read more
© Mayer Tawfik/Unsplash
Close
OHE
  • All Publications

    Filter by:
    • Antimicrobial Resistance (AMR)
    • Biosimilars
    • Cell and Gene Therapies
    • Chronic Diseases
    • Combination Therapies
    • COVID-19 Research
    • Digital Health
    • Drug Development/R&D
    • Emerging Markets
    • EQ-5D and PROMs
    • Health Care Systems
    • Health Data and Statistics
    • Health Technology Assessment
    • Precision Medicine
    • Real World Evidence
    • Use of Medicines
    • Value-Based Pricing
    • Vaccine Research
    • Economics of Innovation
    • Measuring and Valuing Outcomes
    • Policy, Organisation and Incentives in Health Systems
    • Value, Affordability and Decision Making
    • News
    • Events
    • Insights
    • Bulletin
    • Education Hub
    • OHE Graduate School
    • EVIA Programme
    • The Prize Fund
    • 2022 Prize Fund
  • Events
  • About Us
  • OHE Experts
  • Contact Us
Newsletter SignupSubscribe
Back
  • News
11 min read 30th April 2013

NICE Decisions: Exploring the Influence of Cost-Effectiveness and Other Factors

OHE presents a series of lunchtime seminars throughout the year. The most recent seminar, held in late April, considered the influence of cost-effectiveness and other factors on NICE decisions. OHE presents a series of lunchtime seminars throughout the year. The…

Share:
  •  Twitter
  •  LinkedIn
  •  Facebook
  • has-icon Email

OHE presents a series of lunchtime seminars throughout the year. The most recent seminar, held in late April, considered the influence of cost-effectiveness and other factors on NICE decisions.

OHE presents a series of lunchtime seminars throughout the year. The most recent seminar, held in late April, considered the influence of cost-effectiveness and other factors on NICE decisions. Led by OHE’s Prof Nancy Devlin and Helen Dakin of the University of Oxford, the seminar discussed research recently completed by them in collaboration with OHE’s Yan Feng and Phill O’Neill, Nigel Rice of the University of York, and David Parkin, senior visiting researcher at OHE.

Factors Influencing Decisions by NICE from Office of Health Economics

Established in 1999, the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) undertakes appraisals of selected technologies and issues guidance intended to ensure quality and value for money. Its decisions are binding within the NHS and potentially also affect decisions by health technology assessment bodies and payers in other countries. Understanding what factors actually affect NICE decisions, then, is  important for life sciences companies, other stakeholders and patients worldwide.

The research discussed at this OHE lunchtime seminar has three objectives: estimating the cost-effectiveness threshold apparent from NICE’s observed decisions, identifying which factors other than cost effectiveness affect or explain NICE’s decisions, and evaluating whether either of these has changed over time. The seminar’s discussion focused on the first two; the third is in progress.

Included in the basic model for this research were the factors deemed most likely to affect NICE’s decisions : (1) incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs); (2) clinical evidence, hypothesising that NICE will reject a technology with insufficient clinical evidence; (3) insights provided by stakeholders, hypothesising that involvement increases the chance of approval; (4) when the technology is the only treatment available for a given disease, hypothesising that NICE is more likely to recommend it; (5) whether the technology is for the treatment of children, on the grounds that NICE says it gives ‘the benefit of the doubt’, given methodological challenges in measuring health outcomes in children; (6) publication date, to capture whether NICE decisions have changed through time; and (7) severity of the underlying illness, as NICE states that it accepts higher ICERs for treatments for serious conditions.

A wide range of other variables also was included in extended modelling. These included exploring the effect on decisions of the introduction of the single technology appraisal (STA) process and the use of end-of-life criteria and whether decisions differ systematically across disease area and appraisal committees.

Most of the data for the research were derived from HTAinSite, a commercial database of NICE decisions developed by the OHE, Abacus and City University. An overview of the analytic approach is included in the presentation (above).

The research found that ICERs are by far the strongest predictor, alone explaining 81% of NICE’s decisions. While some variables other than cost effectiveness are significant, their contribution to the ability of the model to predict “yes” and “no” decisions is relatively weak. The “best” model suggests that the average decision with an ICER of £42,000 has a 50% chance of being approved/rejected.

Next steps in the research include sensitivity and subgroup analysis to refine the model specification.

A paper reporting these results will be released as an OHE Research Paper in the coming months and also will  be submitted to be a journal.

For further information about this research, please contact – Nancy Devlin or Helen Dakin.

  • Health Technology Assessment…
  • Events

Related News

MicrosoftTeams-image-6_0
  • News
  • June 2022

OHE’s 60th Anniversary Party – Celebrating Our Achievements and Looking Forward

Read more
  • News
  • September 2020

Assessing the Productivity Value of Vaccines in Health Technology Assessment: Worth a Shot?

Read more
  • News
  • August 2020

Are Discount Rates Used in UK Vaccine Economic Evaluations Jeopardising Investment in Immunisation Programmes?

Read more
  • News
  • July 2020

NICE ‘Optimised’ Recommendations: What Do They Mean for Patient Access?

Read more
footer_ohe_logo

Leading intellectual authority on global health economics

Sign Up for the OHE News Bulletin

Newsletter SignupStart Sign Up

Research & Publications

News & Insights

Innovation Policy Prize

Education

Events

About Us

OHE Experts

Contact Us

Sign Up for the OHE News Bulletin

Newsletter SignupStart Sign Up

The Office of Health Economics (OHE) is a company limited by guarantee registered in England and Wales (registered number 09848965) and its registered office is at 2nd Floor Goldings House, Hay’s Galleria, 2 Hay’s Lane, London, SE1 2HB.

Terms & Conditions

Privacy Policy

Cookies Policy

© 2023 Website Design

An error has occurred, please try again later.An error has occurred, please try again later.

We are using cookies to give you the best experience on our website.

You can find out more about which cookies we are using or switch them off in settings.

 Twitter
 Facebook
 LinkedIn
 Copy
 Email
Powered by  GDPR Cookie Compliance
Privacy Overview

This website uses cookies so that we can provide you with the best user experience possible. Cookie information is stored in your browser and performs functions such as recognising you when you return to our website and helping our team to understand which sections of the website you find most interesting and useful.

Strictly Necessary Cookies

Strictly Necessary Cookie should be enabled at all times so that we can save your preferences for cookie settings.

If you disable this cookie, we will not be able to save your preferences. This means that every time you visit this website you will need to enable or disable cookies again.

3rd Party Cookies

This website uses Google Analytics to collect anonymous information such as the number of visitors to the site, and the most popular pages.

Keeping this cookie enabled helps us to improve our website.

Please enable Strictly Necessary Cookies first so that we can save your preferences!